Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Late Roster Moves

Usually, I don't read much into what MLB.com Twins beat writer Kelly Thesier says, unless its a funny mailbag question or something she wrote that just doesn't look quite right. However, she does provide plenty of quotes from the inner circle that controls the Twins. And manager Ron Gardenhire has had plenty to say lately.

J.D. Durbin was yesterday's hot topic and that continues to be, but more in the sense that it is becoming increasingly unlikely he will be on the team come next week. According to Thesier's article yesterday, Gardenhire sees the last roster battles as one between Carlos Silva and Matt Garza for the fifth spot in the rotation and one between Josh Rabe, Chris Heintz and Durbin for the final roster spot.

As for Durbin, Thesier says that his lack of options are "an issue with the club hesitant to lose a power arm like his," but Gardy has "made clear his preference earlier this spring to keep 11 pitchers and go with an extra bench player." In other words, Durbin is probably done. And that is because we are seeing a repeat of 2005.

As fans surely recall, the possibility of Joe Mauer getting hurt in 2005 freaked out Gardy so much that he decided to keep Corky Miller on the roster for a third-catcher. Miller managed 12 at-bats with an amazing .000/.000/.000 line before getting sent down for good. (Miller, for those tracking, holds an astounding .190/.285/.310 career line. Have to be excited about that 0.95 Isolated Discipline. This guy is patient!) By keeping Miller, the Twins were forced to part with Michael Restovich.

Restovich has a career .286/.367/.500 line at the minor-league level, with 155 homers. He had several great years in the Twins' minor-league system, including a great year at Triple-A in 2002 when he hit .286/.353/.542 with 29 homers and 98 RBI. In other words, he had the potential to be a great outfielder for the Twins and was just as good of a prospect as Durbin is, if not better.

Despite this, Restovich was never really given much of a chance by the Twins to prove himself at the major-league level and like Durbin, he struggled with injuries the year before he was released. He was easily disposed of so that Gardy could sleep at night. It appears Durbin will meet the same fate and once again, it will be for questionable reasons.

Restovich never latched on with another team, only to come back and hit home run after home run against them like a certain former Twin. Likewise, it isn't all that likely that if he is picked up, Durbin will join a team and destroy the Twins every time he faces them. But that isn't the point. The point is it would be a silly move to keep Heintz on the team and let go of a talented arm like Durbin's.

Many talented arms don't bloom until later. Spring training stats aren't meaningful enough to determine letting go of Durbin. And if keeping him means that Rabe or Heintz might be lost, it isn't as bad a loss Durbin.

As for the Silva and Garza battle? No use in wasting breath. Everyone knows the sad answer to that fiasco.

8 comments:

Corey Ettinger said...

Great piece Mr. Mosvick, I especially enjoyed the Restovich breakdown.

MNSG.blogspot.com

Anonymous said...

If it is down to Heintz, Rabe and Durbin I would defiantly choose J.D..

We don't need a third catcher, or a sixth outfielder, but with the rotation that we're bringing north, having a guy at the end of the bullpen bench that can go 5 or 6 innings if needed may really help us out early in the season.

This way we can see what Durbin has, and not just waste a roster spot on a guy who will rarely, if ever, get used.

JP

Anonymous said...

Dumping Durbin to keep Heinz seems very foolish. Gardy's obsession with having a 3rd catcher to protect himself against the extremely odd predicament of DH's Mauer and redmond getting hurt and having to bat his pitcher. The fact that it might occur for 1 or 2 AB's isn;t worth keeping a catcher who can't (and basically won't) play.

But it's not like Durbin has shown anything. yeah, he's supposed to have a power arm, but does he have the control or the temperament? I don't want to lose him for nothing, but I think a trade might be his best bet and best for the organization.

Nick M. said...

Its true that Durbin has a bit of an attitude issue that may be getting in the way. But, as I said, spring training innings don't really tell you that much. When you look at his minor league track record, much the same with Restovich (which is why i used him as a comp), you can see its worth giving him a shot.

If he doesn't work out, you can trade him. But, he has a live arm, so good things can happen. Rabe? Heintz? Those guys are, sorry to say, easily replaceable and there is little argument to keeping them over Durbin. There are plenty of AAAA outfielders and "Bull Durham" catchers out there.

Sheldon said...

Star Trib is reporting that Garza has been sent down to AAA -- I can't stand it, Garza's ERA 1.50 Silva's 11 and change. I seem to remember a certain SS getting a job over a young guy with better stats last year. The only thing we learn from history is that we don't learn from history.
For the 25th man -- anybody but Heintz. Durbin?? , Casilla (o wait he's down already) BTW - the Rochester rotation 2-5 is better than the Twins right now, just like last year when the left side of the infield was better

Corey Ettinger said...

Sheldon, I understand your frustration, but there are more factors playing into the Twins decision than wins and loses this year. Thankfully to say we have an organization which is led by people who understand that old adage that an ounce of prevention can prevent a pound of pain. I just finished writing an article about this very subject. If you interested, read my opinion at http://mnsg-twins.blogspot.com/

freefun0616 said...

酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店小姐兼職,
便服酒店經紀,
酒店打工經紀,
制服酒店工作,
專業酒店經紀,
合法酒店經紀,
酒店暑假打工,
酒店寒假打工,
酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店小姐兼職,
便服酒店工作,
酒店打工經紀,
制服酒店經紀,
專業酒店經紀,
合法酒店經紀,
酒店暑假打工,
酒店寒假打工,
酒店經紀人,
菲梵酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,
禮服酒店上班,
酒店小姐兼職,
便服酒店工作,
酒店打工經紀,
制服酒店經紀,
酒店經紀,

,

be said...

酒店經紀,
酒店工作,
酒店上班,
酒店打工,
禮服酒店,
禮服公關,
酒店領檯,
華麗幻想,
夢世界,
酒店經紀,
酒店工作,
酒店上班,
酒店打工,
禮服酒店,
禮服公關,
酒店領檯,
華麗幻想,
夢世界,
酒店經紀,
酒店工作,
酒店上班,
酒店打工,
禮服酒店,
禮服公關,
酒店領檯,
華麗幻想,
夢世界,